Sachidanand
R. Kulkarni
Sr.
Manager – Human Resource
Nihilent Technologies Pvt. Ltd.
It’s
vitally necessary to invest considerable time for Human Resource (HR)
professionals to understand and analyze the business environment, customer
demand, labor market conditions and balance the ‘Demand/Supply’ of talent.
Today,
in the knowledge-led economy the attrition among top performers is increasing
day-by-day. In the other hand business demand is sporadically dynamic; it’s
difficult to meet the desired level of business expectations in short time. The
ultimate focus for recruitment function must be to build the ability to ramp-up
fast with right people on board at right time in order to balance the demand
and supply.
“Human
Capital Forecast” can prove to be competitive advantage for an organization to
achieve its business objectives. However this seeks focused approach and humongous
collaboration across functions such as Human Resources, Sales & Marketing, Project
delivery and Finance.
How
“Human Capital Forecast” can be a competitive advantage, one of my HR friend
asked me during our casual conversation. It is essential for HR function to make
sure that ‘HR Strategy’ communicates with ‘Business Strategy’ of the
organization. Now the whole question is around where is the ‘Business
Strategy’? Has HR been involved when ‘Business Strategy’ was being designed and
finalized? Same applies to ‘HR Strategy’…!. It’s the demand of the dynamic
business environment that the traditional way of corporate working won’t lead
to desired results. People got to come together, seat across the table and
collectively decide on what we want to achieve, how do we achieve and agree on
accountabilities, acceptable results and processes. Unless the ‘Why’ is established, ‘How’ can’t be explored!
Let’s
park strategy issue at senior management’s level to think and bring
rationality, but focus on actions that are under control of HR Manager.
I
am categorically using ‘Human Capital’ phrase than “Human Resource’ with
reference to the intense research happening around HR function and its future.
‘Resource’, anything which is referred as resource is supposed to be
exhaustible by its natural characteristics, at one point it loses its potential
to grow, however it’s ‘Capital’ where we intend to invest for long term and
gain value out of it. Hence it is imperative to treat employees as ‘Capital’ to
be invested with long term vision than ‘Resource’ for gaining short term
benefits.
‘Human
Capital Forecast’ is representation of various levels of analysis that reflects
the consolidated view of manpower.
- Attrition Analysis, Retention Analysis & Attrition Forecast
- Demand Analysis
- Supply Analysis
a. Internal capacity / Capability matrix
b. External/Recruitment pipeline
4. Potential Investments / R & D
Let’s
look at in details the expected outcome from each analysis listed above:
Attrition Analysis, Retention Analysis
& Attrition Forecast:
·
Attrition
Analysis:
o
Consolidate list of employees
resigned/separated in the specific month, quarter and year.
o
Calculate:
1. How
many employees have been separated in a month
2. How
many employees have been separated in a quarter
3. And
how many employees have been separated in a year
4. Convert
each outcome in percentage %
E.g.
Attrition % = Number of employees separated in a month
Total number of employees in the month
Though
there are few other ways to calculate attrition but in general this is the widely
used method to analyze gross level attrition.
·
Retention
Analysis:
o
Calculate average retention rate i.e.
Number
of employees retained in particular month/quarter/year from number of employees
resigned/separated
E.g. Retention % = Number of
retained employees
Number of resigned employees
·
Attrition
Forecast:
o
Based on attrition % calculated for a particular
month, prepare attrition forecast template (monthly, quarterly and for a year)
o
This forecast must reflect expected number
of employees moving out in each month, quarter & year ahead.
o
Analysis must capture skills wise/level
wise expected deficit in employee headcount.
. Demand Analysis:
·
Sales
Pipeline
o
Work closely with sales operations team and
analyze business demand for a month/quarter and if visible at high level for a
year
o
Demand must be analyzed in two
perspectives:
1. Capability (Skills):
·
What kind of skills, technology and
experience is required
·
Categorize the specific demand as
“Opportunity based demand” & “Capacity fulfillment demand”
·
Opportunity based demand would give some
breathing space for planning and onboarding required talent
·
Capacity fulfillment demand is just in time
need
2. Capacity:
·
Volume required
·
Timelines for fulfillment
·
Demand
- Trend Analysis
o
Consolidate sales pipeline and prepare
trend analysis report that reflects:
·
Kind of skills/technologies in highest to
lowest demand (define skill range array)
·
Frequently requested profiles
·
Client wise skill demand trend
o
Outcome of this analysis must reflect the
skill demand trend, frequently requested skills over the period of 3 months,
6months etc.
Supply Analysis:
a. Internal capacity / Capability matrix:
·
Consolidate employee data with their
primary skills and experience level.
·
Categorize employees as those who are
utilized on projects and those who are available for next opportunity (with
their tentative available date/month)
·
Arrive at the summarized view that reflects
number of employee’s skills wise and experience level wise available in-house.
·
Further analyze list of employees available
for next opportunity with possible dates of availability.
·
The outcome of this analysis must give
clear picture of number of employees that are available skills wise/experience
wise to take up new opportunities.
b. External/Recruitment pipeline:
·
On the similar lines of internal supply,
analyze External/Recruitment pipeline.
·
Review with Recruitment team, prepare list
of candidates in offer given status, number of candidates that have confirmed
joining and categorize these in to skills and experience level.
·
Further analyze possible date of joining
for candidates that have accepted offer.
·
Outcome of this analysis must reflect the
number of candidates skill wise/experience level wise expected to join in due
course.
Potential Investments / R & D:
·
Organizational technology roadmap and
business strategy are key input sources to plan potential manpower investment.
·
HR manager must work closely with R&D
team and CTO to understand potential areas that organization is likely to
invest and what kind of skills sets it requires and by when.
·
This analysis must reflect number of people
skill wise/experience level wise required by specific time.
I
trust this article may be helpful for HR professionals. I request readers to
post their feedback to improve this further.